He's at it again. Bernanke, that is. On June 3, 2008, the Fed chief delivered a
rambling 45-minute speech at the International
Monetary Conference in Barcelona, Spain laying out all the reasons why the
Federal Reserve is NOT responsible for the present crisis in the financial
markets. Here's what he said:
"In the financial
sphere, the three longer-term developments I have identified are linked by the
fact that a substantial increase in the net supply of saving in emerging market
economies contributed to both the U.S. housing boom and the broader credit boom.
The sources of this increase in net saving included rapid growth in high-saving
East Asian countries and, outside of China, reduced investment rates in that
region; large buildups in foreign exchange reserves in a number of emerging
markets; and the enormous increases in the revenues received by exporters of
oil and other commodities.
"The pressure of these net savings flows led to lower
long-term real interest rates around the world, stimulated asset prices
(including house prices), and pushed current accounts toward deficit in the
industrial countries - notably the United States - that received these
flows."
Whew. That's a pretty
long-winded way of saying the Chinese are to blame for everything that's gone
wrong in the markets for the last 10 months. But is it true?
Globalization is just the public relations mask that conceals the avarice of
its main proponents; upper-class parasites. That's who Bernanke speaks for not the American people. |
Ask yourself this, dear
reader; do "savings" cause massive equity bubbles or are bubbles the
result of low interest rates and rotten monetary policy? It is universally
agreed that Greenspan created the housing bubble by dropping rates below the
rate of inflation for 31 months following the dot.com bust. This sparked a
multi-trillion dollar speculative frenzy in real estate. Artificially low
interest rates distort the market; bubbles appear. "Savings" had
nothing to do with it; Ben Bernanke is just trying to dodge responsibility by
blaming the Chinese. It's the old "dog ate my homework" routine.
The Fed is also responsible
for the surge in oil prices. As Frank Shostak points out in his recent article
"The Oil Price Bubble":
"There is a high
likelihood that the massive increase in the price of oil that we are currently
observing is the manifestation of a severe misallocation of resources - a large
increase in nonproductive activities. It is these activities that have laid the
foundation for the oil-market bubble, which has become manifest in the
explosive increase in the price of oil. The root of the problem here is the
Fed's very loose monetary policy between January 2001 and June 2004. (The
federal funds rate was lowered from 6 to 1 per cent.)"
As far as Bernanke's
contention that the "unprecedented growth in developing and emerging
market economies (China, again)... made the Fed's job of managing inflation
easier"; that's true. But whose interests did that serve? Certainly not
the American people who've seen their factories closed and jobs outsourced by a
handful of wealthy US industrialists who gutted their country for a pocketful
of silver. Globalization is just the public relations mask that conceals the avarice of
its main proponents; upper-class parasites. That's who Bernanke speaks for, not the American people.
As far as escalating
commodities prices, that all started with the Fed, too. Zhou Xiaochuan,
governor of the People's Bank of China, clarified this point earlier this week
when he accused the Fed of triggering inflation around the world by
"reducing interest rates" and forcing commodities to rise sharply. |
Besides, the Fed knew from
the very beginning that the Chinese were manipulating their currency so they
could offload their cheap manufactured goods onto the American market and crush
US industry in the process. What's wrong with that? That's what America used to
do when we had leaders who operated in the national interest rather than
serving a global corporate oligarchy and their madcap scheme for a New World
Order. It's called capitalism; and America used to be pretty good at it.
The Fed never cared that the
game was being rigged. Why would Bernanke care? After all, China and Japan were
reinvesting their massive trade surplus in US
Treasuries and equities which kept interest rates artificially low while
providing Wall Street with a steady flow of cheap capital. It was a
"win-win" situation for the investment moguls and their buddies at
the hedge funds. They were busy getting rich while the nation was being handed
over to foreign creditors lock, stock and barrel. Neither
Greenspan or Bernanke ever made a peep of protest while the looting
continued for more than a decade.
Bernanke doesn't even deny
this. In his speech he says:
"These net savings flows
led to lower long-term real interest rates around the world, stimulated asset
prices (including house prices), and pushed current accounts toward deficit in
the industrial countries - notably the United States - that received these
flows."
Correct. The US$800 billion
current account deficit was recycled into US Treasuries and securities creating
phony prosperity which the Fed knew was
"unsustainable", but they refused to fulfill their regulatory role.
Instead, Greenspan and his Fed-brothers rubber-stamped every harebrain scheme
that Wall Street cooked up including the myriad complex derivatives contracts which ballooned from less than $1 trillion in 2000
to over $580 trillion today; a monstrous bubble which is large enough to send
the entire global economy into a decades-long tailspin.
Did anyone at the Fed speak
up?
No way.
The consumer price index (CPI) is the most "class oriented" of all
the economic gauges. It purposely factors out food, energy and housing (except
rental value) so that the only time the inflation alarm blinks red is when
salaries go up; then all hell breaks loose!
|
Bernanke's speech: "And,
in preparation for the new Basel II capital regulations, supervisors required
more demanding standards for the measurement and management of risk."
More lies. Basel II allowed
the banking giants to estimate their asset values according to their own
internal models, in other words, by picking a number out of a hat. It's a joke.
After Glass Steagall was repealed, the whole system was turned over to the
crooks in pinstripe suits who quickly ran it into the
ground. Booyah Reagan! Hurray for Milton Friedman!
Bernanke again: "The
housing and credit booms were driven to some extent by global savings flows,
but they also reflected domestic factors, such as weaknesses in risk management
and lax standards in subprime lending. Higher commodity prices are for the most
part a global phenomenon, but U.S. dependence on oil imports makes this country
quite vulnerable on that score."
"Risk management? Lax
lending standards"?!?
What risk management; what
lending standards? Does he mean lending hundreds of billions of dollars to
mortgage applicants with no job, no collateral, no down payment and bad credit? Those standards? The whole scam was engineered by
the investment banks who thought they could peddle
mortgage-backed slop to gullible investors without any risk to themselves. They
never expected that Bear Stearns hedge funds would blow up (in July 2007) and
leave them holding hundreds of billions in toxic "subprime" bonds.
As far as escalating
commodities prices, that all started with the Fed, too. Zhou Xiaochuan,
governor of the People's Bank of China, clarified this point earlier this week
when he accused the Fed of triggering inflation around the world by
"reducing interest rates" and forcing commodities to rise sharply. (Yes, China does understand
the game the Fed is playing.) Bernanke pretends that he doesn't grasp why oil
prices are rising even though he's pegged the Fed Funds rate below the rate of
inflation. What's the mystery? When the dollar is traded below its "after
inflation" value; how can oil do anything except go up? This isn't rocket
science.
If the
dollar is delinked from petroleum; the Empire withers overnight; the war will
end, the troops will come home, and the United States will have to pay its
bills like everyone else. |
But the Fed doesn't give a
hoot about inflation anyway. That's just another myth.The Wall Street Journal summed it up like this on Tuesday:
"Inflation can't get
entrenched without rising wages, which won't happen in a weak labor
market."
That's what this is really
all about; making sure the working stiff never gets another farthing for his
labor. That's why
the consumer price index (CPI) is the most "class oriented" of all
the economic gausges. It purposely factors out food, energy and housing (except
rental value) so that the only time the inflation alarm blinks red is when
salaries go up; then all hell breaks loose! It doesn't make a bit of difference to the Fed what
working people are paying at the grocery store or the gas pump; just as long as they NEVER get a raise.
The Fed also cares about
"Capital flight" which is accelerating because of the Central Bank's
mismanagement of the financial markets. Confidence in US markets is at its
nadir and private investors are headed for the exits. That puts more strain on
the battered dollar, which is likely to lose its position as the world's
"reserve currency". That's why Henry Paulson was in the Middle East
on Monday pleading with the oil producing countries not to break their peg with
the dollar. If the
dollar is delinked from petroleum; the Empire withers overnight; the war will
end, the troops will come home, and the United States will have to pay its
bills like everyone else.
Is there a downside?
Paulson said, "I am
committed to promoting policies that enhance the underlying competitiveness of
the U.S. economy and ensure that the dollar remains the world's reserve currency.
The dollar has been the world's reserve currency since World War II and there
is a good reason for that. The U.S. has the largest, most open economy in the
world, and our capital markets are the deepest and most liquid. The long-term
health and strong underlying fundamentals of the U.S. economy will shine
through and be reflected in currency values."
If Bernanke
cuts rates; commodities (and oil) will skyrocket and
foreign investors will ditch the dollar. If he raises rates, banks will fail
and the housing crash will accelerate. There are no good options. |
Paulson is a certifiable
nutcase. The underlying US economy may be strong but the financial system is
built on pure quicksand and is sinking fast. The only thing keeping the dollar
afloat is the secret maneuvering of the G-7 and the loyalty of a few venal Arab
sheiks who would rather see their people face 14 per
cent inflation then cut the umbilical cord to Uncle Sam.
Earlier this year, author
Bill Wilby explained the benefits of being the world's "reserve
currency":
"If America were to lose
its reserve currency status because of a continued loss of confidence in the
dollar, the cost in terms of jobs and growth would be significant. The real
economic benefit conveyed by the right to print the accepted global currency is
called seignorage, which results in part from the lower capital cost we derive
from foreigners' willingness to hold dollar cash. This country has taken for
granted the benefits of our global seignorage for many years, and it is one of
the reasons the U.S. has maintained a higher growth rate than the world's other
mature economies." ("The Dollar and the Market Mess", Bill
Wilby, Wall Street Journal)
Wilby's right, foreign
investors and central banks would have no reason to keep their treasure-trove
of $6 trillion in USD and dollar-backed assets if oil is no longer denominated
in greenbacks. That means a flood of dollars would reenter the US causing an
inflationary spiral that would make Wiemar, Germany look like a breezy day on
the strand.
Thanks to the Fed's
ham-fisted monetary policies, a Force-5 economic hurricane is presently looming
right offshore and there's nothing Bernanke or Paulson can do to stop it from
touching down. If Bernanke
cuts rates; commodities (and oil) will skyrocket and
foreign investors will ditch the dollar. If he raises rates, banks will fail
and the housing crash will accelerate. There are no good options.
Economist Nouriel Roubini
summed it up like this:
"A contracting economy,
falling employment, the worst US housing recession since the Great Depression,
collapsing home values, millions of households underwater with an incentive to
walk away, a shopped out and saving-less and debt-burdened US consumer buffeted
by falling home prices, falling HEW, falling stock prices, rising debt
servicing ratios, oil at $130 a barrel and gasoline at $4 a gallon, collapsing
consumer confidence and falling employment are taking the toll on the economy,
on financial markets, on banks, on the shadow financial system and on money
markets and credit markets. We were in the eye of the storm rather than past
the storm; and the recent events and developments suggest that the worst is
ahead of us, for the economy, for equity markets, for credit markets and for
money markets."
That's right; doomsday, dead ahead.
You're doin' a "heck'uva
job, Benny!"
Click here: For feedback and comments.
Note:
Mike Whitney is a well respected freelance writer living in Washington
state, interested in politics and economics from a libertarian
perspective. He can be reached at fergiewhitney@msn.com.
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